Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Saturday, February 26, 2022

What if Russian banks will be closed out from the SWIFT system?


The closing out from SWIFT means that there are no money transfers between those banks and other banks. That thing is devastating for the economy. And maybe that allows blocking the money transfer between Vladimir Putin's inner circle and other countries. That will limit those people's ability to operate at western marketing. 

Even Standard&Poors warned Europe about the influence of the sanctions. We must remember that economics is not an independent thing. When people are seeing that some nation is acting brutally. That causes antipathy. And today things like social media are very good tools to share information. That information can be right or wrong. But the thing is that thing will influence to invest to that country. 

Today is not possible to hide the membership in companies that have connections with Oligarchs. Even if we want to see that business is business we must remember that business with the wrong people can cause boycotts. A negative reputation is also damaged business. 

When we are thinking about the authoritarian government there is always possible that the authorities will seize investments by using some excuse. And that means the money is gone. But if the business is not tolerated. because things like production are against human rights. That thing costs also very lot of money. A lost reputation is a very expensive thing. 

Economics is always connected with politics. That a nation or country is following. We are all humans. And one aspect that is dominating marketing is psychology. If we are seeing that the police of some countries are using unnecessary violence. Or some other country will start unnecessary or injustice warfare that affects people's attitude. And attitudes cause boycotts. 

The problem with sanctions is that they might affect ordinary Russians, not Vladimir Putin. The thing is that the sanctions because of the Ukraine situation are necessary. But the thing is that we know that there is always the risk that the sanctions would not work. The nuclear weapons of Russia guarantee that the military actions against that country will not happen. But economical sanctions can affect at least the regular people. And maybe they are starting to see Putin in a different light. 

The problem is how powerful actions the sanctions include? Could the net attack against Russians be effective? Full close to the high-tech sanctions could cause Western mobile telephones not to get necessary updates because computer codes are also prohibited. Or those telephones will shut down. That situation would affect regular people. But do they affect the Russian business elite and Putin's inner circle? 

We know that Putin wants to finish his campaign in Ukraine very fast. And then that man believes that the focus of the world would turn away from Ukraine when there are more interesting things. So he might just believe that the world will not remember that attack. 

When we are thinking about things like the isolation of Russia, we must remember that we must not wait for the cold war. The cold war is already here. The thing is that economic sanctions are the thing that should give a message that the actions. like an attack on Ukraine is not tolerated by other countries. 


Thursday, August 23, 2018

What means populists term political "Illuminati" and the power across the party limits?

https://metsantarinoita.blogspot.com/

Kimmo Huosionmaa

The term political "Illuminati" is normally meaning the political power across the party borders. Behind that group of politicians is claimed to be some economic groups, what supports politicians across the political field, for creating comfortable laws. Those politicians normally ride with some international conflicts, but those conflicts cover the tax-laws and customs, and who wants to talk about taxes and money when our boy is dying. But those laws are in the political control of senates and parliaments. And those laws are more important for economic life than some war.


The internet is full of stories about political corruption and "Illuminati", what means high-class politicians, whose families have been members of the parliaments and senates in generations. Those families have "brandy" how to get votes, and they would get very much political power inside the governments. There are reasons, why people believe that. Sometimes the thoughts about political conspiracy are caused because of mistakes. One of those mistakes has been McCarthy's case. Joseph McCarthy (1908-1957) was the senator of Wisconsin, and well known about the persecutions against communists.


Eugene McCarthy (1916-2005) who had the similar family name with Joseph McCarthy was against Vietnam War, and I don't see anything special about the people believe that those men were members of the same family. In real life, those persons probably were not known together, and the namesake is the total coincidence. The same family name makes people believe all kind of stuff, and sometimes some persons claim, that the Eugene McCarthy's policy against Vietnam war was only acting or playing some kind of role. In this theory member of the same family would want to keep political control by playing different roles in different areas.


Those politicians would ask the people, what they think about some actions, and after that politician would fix the speeches for supporting the majority of the people. That guarantees very much votes.  Maybe they would represent different political parties, but if they are popular enough, would that guarantee that the votes come to the same family, and if another would be dropped from the political elite, would another person allowed to continue. That model would use some kind of economical groups, what want to guarantee, that their men are in the parliament.

Friday, February 16, 2018

About situation in Ukraine


7K720 Iskander missile
(NATO SS-26 "Stone")
(Picture 1)


Kimmo Huosionmaa

Vladimir Putin and the situation in Ukraine are not been very often in a stand at public media. Reason for that is there is nothing going on in that place, what is called as the Crimean peninsula. This place is in very important strategic location when we are thinking about a transportation of Caucasian oil and gas by tubes to European markets. If the Caucasian oil and gas will replace Russian products, that would mean the decrease of Russians economic and political influence. And in the real world, that means that Russia cannot cut those deliveries for having political acceptance for other actions. If the nation doesn't use Russian oil and gas, the threat would give only by the military forces. And it looks like bad in the international politics. Open threading by weapons will cause the public opinion turn against Russia.


And there have been ideas of massive United Nations peacekeeping operations in Ukraine, but the reason of Russian military power the passion for this kind of operations is much lower than in Afghanistan and Iraq. Russian nuclear force is the very frightening thing, what will make think twice, if somebody wants to operate in Ukraine with United Nations mandate. Russian interest is that situation in Ukraine will forget as fas as possible. Also, many European countries will want to normalize their relationship with Russian leaders.


If we think that the USA would come in this situation with military forces, we must say, that this scenario is very improbable, because this nation has been in the war since 2001, and that would be not very good for the reputation of that country. The prize of that war is very high, and the operation in Afghanistan and Iraq have cost more than the Second World War. Also, the losses of human lives in those wars have been very high, and the people of USA have tired about the war.


The war between the USA and Russia would be the World War III, what might mean nuclear holocaust, where the big part of the human population will be killed. This is the reason, why the solution to this problem is not able to find the military way. The problem with this crisis is that Russian military has got power to stand in that area, and those troops are highly protected by nuclear weapons, what has installed on highly mobile battlefield systems warships.


Those weapons are extremely difficult to detect, and they have the capacity to destroy the entire city. If those truck-mounted weapons would detect, they are quite easy to destroy by tactical fighters, helicopters or commando-strike. But the detection is the problem. The weapon itself can be destroyed by anti-tank weapons or bombs. If the core of the bomb will be broken, radioactive plutonium will be delivered to the ground.  But of course, nuclear weapons have the very hard defense and strikes can be shielded by the security-fire by the security team. So this makes those weapons extreme difficult targets for military forces. The system goes, that tactical nuclear weapons will be used in the first strike, and those weapons are supported by strategic nuclear weapons And if Russian conventional forces would get in trouble those weapons will be used in this kind of situation.

Sources

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9K720_Iskander

Picture 1
https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQLGxFjm2f_Q1B794FLy3bk9rbb5tBXSPfDpZFFLlDs_S8lpHxlww

https://crisisofdemocracticstates.blogspot.fi/


http://crisisofdemocracticstates.blogspot.fi/p/about-situation-in-ukraine.html

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